Friday, 15 January 2021

10% Daily Drop of ETH Stored on Exchanges Sees Bulls Regrouping for a New Push

10% Daily Drop of ETH Stored on Exchanges Sees Bulls Regrouping for a New Push

Recent data indicates that the number of Ethereum coins stored on exchanges has been gradually decreasing in the past year and showcased a massive drop in the past 24 hours alone.

This causes speculations if the growing demand for ETH and decreasing liquid supply could skyrocket the asset price.

Ethereum Held On Exchanges Evaporates

According to the cryptocurrency monitoring resource CryptoQuant, the number of ETH tokens stored on exchanges reached a 12-month high of over 14 million in the middle of 2020. Since then, though, the quantities have gradually started to decrease as Ethereum holders have withdrawn their assets to cold wallets or, more likely, used the coins in DeFi, NFT, or other endeavors.


ETH Stored On Exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant

After dropping to below 11.5 million in the following months, the liquid supply drastically decreased in the past 24 hours. As the graph above demonstrates, it fell sharply by about 10% to 10.2 million.

Popular cryptocurrency commentator Alex Sanders classified this development as “incredible” and breached a possible bullish scenario for the asset’s price. He referred to a similar situation with bitcoin.

Basic economic principles dictate that once the supply of an asset decreases, while the demand remains the same or increases, its price should rise, in theory.

As reported before, the liquid supply of BTC has been declining as well, while its price has surged to new all-time highs lately. Saunders highlighted this and added that “when demand outstripped the supply of BTC, it quadrupled in 90 days.”

Should ETH is to resemble bitcoin’s move and indeed quadruple in value, this would mean a price tag of north of $4,000 per coin.

ETH Active Supply 3-Year Low

Data from Glassnode supports the aforementioned narrative that ETH’s supply is decreasing. More specifically, the company looked in the active supply – meaning the amount of circulating coins – last moved between one and two years ago.

This metric suggested a HODLing mentality from such investors as it has dropped to a 3-year low of 15.6 million coins.

ETH Active 1y-2y Supply. Source: Glassnode
ETH Active 1y-2y Supply. Source: Glassnode

Separately, the firm indicated that unlike ETH’s actual price, which has failed to reach a new all-time high above $1,450, the token’s realized price had charted a new record.

The realized price of an asset considers the average price at which each coin has moved the last time in the network.

Glassnode said that ETH’s realized price has continued to paint new records, and the latest one has breached above $420.

ETH Realized Price. Source: Glassnode
ETH Realized Price. Source: GlassnodeTitle: 10% Daily Drop of ETH Stored on Exchanges Sees Bulls Regrouping for a New Push
Sourced From: cryptopotato.com/10-daily-drop-of-eth-stored-on-exchanges-sees-bulls-regrouping-for-a-new-push/
Published Date: Thu, 14 Jan 2021 13:49:38 +0000


10% Daily Drop of ETH Stored on Exchanges Sees Bulls Regrouping for a New Push
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Bitcoin Reclaims $40K: New ATH Quickly or Deeper Correction Incoming? (BTC Rate Analysis).

Bitcoin Reclaims $40K: New ATH Quickly or Deeper Correction Incoming? (BTC Rate Analysis).

The bulls are back in town with a solid 15% daily price surge, as BTC reclaims the $40K price area. Only two days ago, after reaching $42K ATH, the primary cryptocurrency dropped by a steep 30% to find support upon the $30K level.

The correction was even quicker than the drop as BTC had gained $5,000 only yesterday and closed the daily candle at $37,415 (Bitstamp). Today, Bitcoin’s price continued even higher, recording $40,122 as the daily high as of writing these lines.

Bitcoin has initiated a new ascending price channel on the following 4-hour chart as it trades around the upper border. Additionally, it has met resistance at a bearish .786 Fib Retracement around $39,720, together with $40 K’s psychological level. Following the 2-day $10,000 rally, it will be interesting to see whether BTC will continue to a new ATH beyond $42K or create a lower low on its way down.

BTC Price Support and Resistance Levels to Watch

Key Support Levels: $38,000, $37,150, $36,000, $34,000, $32,500.

Key Resistance Levels: $39,720-$40,000, $40,775, $41,000, $41,835, $42,000.

Moving forward, the first level of resistance lies at $40,000. This is followed by $40,775 (bearish .886 Fib Retracement), $41,000, $41,835 (1.414 Fib Extension), and the ATH price at $42,000. In the above-mentioned price are we can also see high chunks of supply of leftover sell commands of traders not selling amid the recent drop.

In case Bitcoin breaks the current ATH at $42K, then the next resistance levels are expected at $43,445 and $45,000.

Alternatively, in case the $40K top from earlier today would turn to be a local top, the first level of support lies at $38,000. This is followed by $37,150, $36,000, and $34,000. Further support lies at the ascending trend line, and $32,500 (.382 Fib).

Following the reversal, the daily RSI recently bounced from the mid-line to indicate that the bullish momentum is increasing once again. The drop toward the mid-line provided an opportunity for the momentum to settle from extremely overbought levels before a possible retest of the ATH zone.

Bitstamp BTC/USD Daily Chart


BTC/USD Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Bitstamp BTC/USD 4-Hour Chart

btcusd-4hr-jan14
BTC/USD 4-Hour Chart. Source: TradingViewTitle: Bitcoin Reclaims $40K: New ATH Soon or Deeper Correction Incoming? (BTC Price Analysis)
Sourced From: cryptopotato.com/bitcoin-reclaims-40k-new-ath-soon-or-deeper-correction-incoming-btc-price-analysis/
Published Date: Thu, 14 Jan 2021 13:49:35 +0000


Bitcoin Reclaims $40K: New ATH Quickly or Deeper Correction Incoming? (BTC Rate Analysis).
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Thursday, 14 January 2021

Coinbase buys US-based mining firm amid market diversity efforts

Coinbase buys US-based mining firm amid market diversity efforts

Coinbase Ventures, the investment arm of the major crypto exchange, has invested an undisclosed amount into Titan, a developer of software and services targeted at industrial Bitcoin (BTC) mining.

According to Titan’s announcement, the investment will help continue development of the company’s products and improve efficiency and profitability of Bitcoin mining companies.

Ryan Condron, co-founder and CEO of Titan, said that “mining has advanced from hobby, to industry, to critical global computing infrastructure, and Titan is prepared to help world-class miners meet these challenges.”

Titan offers advanced pool and mining software targeted specifically for professional U.S.-based miners. Its network of nodes and mining dashboards allows miners to better compete on a global scale, according to the company.

Previously, Titan launched the Titan Pool in collaboration with CoinMint and CoreScientific, two major mining infrastructure providers in the U.S. Among the benefits offered by the pool, Titan cites better transparency and, crucially, solving some jurisdictional issues for U.S. miners.

China currently accounts for the vast majority of the Bitcoin hashrate. The relative dominance can be attributed to a combination of attractive electricity costs and a localized supply chain.

The Sichuan region is particularly attractive for miners due to its cheap hydroelectric power. Its importance is so pronounced that local seasons have a strong effect on Bitcoin’s hash rate. But cheap electricity is not unique to China, with some regions in the U.S., Canada and Europe being just as competitive.

The mining supply chain, on the other hand, sees a much stronger dominance of Chinese companies. Mining hardware manufacturers are almost exclusively based in China. This gives local miners a powerful home field advantage, as there may be difficulties in exporting and importing certain chips and devices. Though the U.S. is catching up in terms of mining hash rate, accounting for 14% of the total, local firms are still using Chinese-made devices.

This may be particularly problematic in today’s geopolitical environment, where the U.S. is actively banning Chinese-made products and services, and going as far as prohibiting investment in Chinese companies. The mining industry has already begun responding, with some operators repatriating hash rate. Though the departure of President Trump may help ease tensions somewhat, some analysts believe that there may be no reset in sight for the U.S.-China relations.

Titan is primarily focusing on the software side of the mining supply chain, offering a national pool for miners to join. There have also been some developments in local maintenance infrastructure, with Bitmain offering technician certification courses in the U.S. in May 2020.

Interest in diversifying the mining industry away from China’s dominance appears to be high, but full independence is unlikely to be achieved until ASIC manufacturers from other countries step in.

Title: Coinbase invests in US-based mining firm amid industry diversification efforts
Sourced From: cointelegraph.com/news/coinbase-invests-in-us-based-mining-firm-amid-industry-diversification-efforts
Published Date: Thu, 14 Jan 2021 18:03:00 +0000


Coinbase buys US-based mining firm amid market diversity efforts
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Bitcoin declines to ‘die’ as BTC price hits $40K simply three days after crash

Bitcoin declines to ‘die’ as BTC price hits $40K simply three days after crash

Bitcoin (BTC) surged higher on Jan. 14, reaching $40,000 on Coinbase amid fresh evidence of new large buys on exchanges.


BTC/USD weekly price candles (Coinbase). Source: Tradingview

BTC price adds $10,000 in three days

Data from Cointelegraph Markets and TradingView tracked BTC/USD as the pair delivered even more bullish surprises during Thursday trading, adding over 17% in 24 hours.

The uptick is the latest bullish sign to come from Bitcoin price action, which just days ago focused on levels not much above $30,000.

The revisiting of $40,000 came hours after BTC/USD entered and appeared to flip a crucial resistance zone to support at around $38,000.

“That one needs to flip. If it does, we’ll be eager for new all-time highs. If not, more consolidation likely,” Cointelegraph Markets analyst MichaĆ«l van de Poppe summarized in a prior tweet.

Others were already bullish beforehand. Tyler Winklevoss, co-founder of exchange Gemini, referenced various press reports of a “crash” in Bitcoin as it slid to $30,250 earlier in the week. He told Twitter followers:

“They said #Bitcoin died on Monday, but now it’s above 37k. Don’t listen to the noise, stay focused.”

“Did nocoiners really think #Bitcoin wouldn’t bounce back? This is the year of the Metal Bull. $100k is inevitable,” Blockstream chief strategy officer Samson Mow added.

Stimulus and buy-ins buoy Bitcoin bulls

Bears losing their grip complements wary sentiment on the U.S. dollar as President-elect Joe Biden is set to announce a new coronavirus stimulus package reportedly worth trillions of dollars. While official details were still forthcoming as of publication, it was thought that it would include personal stimulus checks of $2,000 to eligible Americans.

“I think positioning in risk assets is becoming a concern, so there could be a squeeze in the dollar near-term,” Shusuke Yamada, chief Japan FX strategist at Bank of America in Tokyo, told Reuters about the U.S. dollar outlook.

“I am focusing on gradual dollar weakness in 2021.”

The U.S. dollar currency index (DXY), with which Bitcoin traditionally shows inverse correlation, nonetheless continued its march higher on the day prior to announcements from Washington.


Bitcoin exchange outflows chart. Source: CryptoQuant

Accompanying that rise was a similar rebound in funds removals from Bitcoin exchanges. As noted by on-chain analytics resource CryptoQuant, a single hour on Thursday saw “unusual” outflows from three large trading platforms, indicating mass-buying had taken place.

Binance led the interest, with 6,051 BTC ($233 million) withdrawn during that time, followed by BitMEX with 951 BTC ($37 million).

“If it’s an OTC deal, it would be a bullish signal as institutional investors are buying.”

“Binance sent BTC to a couple of unknown cold wallets. These transactions could be related to internal transfers or OTC deals,” CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju told Cointelegraph in private comments.

As Cointelegraph reported, similar spikes in exchanges’ outflows have occurred during recent upward price trends.

Title: Bitcoin refuses to ‘die’ as BTC price hits $40K just three days after crash
Sourced From: cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-refuses-to-die-as-btc-price-hits-40k-just-three-days-after-crash
Published Date: Thu, 14 Jan 2021 15:34:55 +0000


Bitcoin declines to ‘die’ as BTC price hits $40K simply three days after crash
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Cream Finance jumps into DeFi ‘corporate financial obligation’ with Iron Bank launch

Cream Finance jumps into DeFi ‘corporate financial obligation’ with Iron Bank launch

The Cream Finance project, a lending protocol that recently merged into the Yearn ecosystem, announced the upcoming launch of its Iron Bank feature, a name inspired by the once-popular TV show Game Of Thrones.

Cream’s Iron Bank is an attempt to create a decentralized finance equivalent of corporate debt. The announcement, released on Thursday, explains how the market for peer-to-peer lending in traditional finance, worth $70 billion, pales in comparison with the world of corporate credit, with $10 trillion in loans outstanding.

To create a similar industry in DeFi, Cream is now allowing other protocols to borrow funds without posting collateral. For risk management purposes, the system is not permissionless. Each protocol needs to be whitelisted by Cream for a line of credit. The protocol is then able to borrow freely, until it reaches the credit limit set by Cream.

Currently, the assets available for borrowing are Ether (ETH), Dai and y3Crv, an interest-bearing token representing Yearn’s vault for Curve Finance’s Dai-USDT-USDC pool. In the future, Cream expects to add other stablecoins such as Tether (USDT), USD Coin (USDC), sUSD, mStable USD (mUSD) and DefiDollar (DUSD), as well as Chainlink’s LINK, Yearn.finance’s YFI, Synthetix Network Token (SNX) and Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC).

Current protocols supported by Cream are Yearn.finance and Alpha Homora. For now, no new applications are accepted.

For the Yearn ecosystem, the Iron Bank can be particularly useful for increasing the effectiveness of yield farming strategies. By leveraging assets without posting collateral, Yearn vaults can effectively multiply the yield they obtain from farming SUSHI, CRV and ALPHA. At the same time, people supplying assets on Cream benefit from the higher interest-rate payouts.

Undercollateralized loans in DeFi have long been considered as the next great step in DeFi evolution. Current lending platforms almost always require users to post more collateral than the sum they are borrowing. This is primarily a limitation imposed by smart contracts, as the protocol cannot use legal means to recover bad debt. Overcollateralized loans are mostly just useful for adding leverage or selling crypto assets short.

Some proposed solutions for undercollateralized loans include credit scores, both traditional and on-chain. Projects working on this include Tellor and Zero Collateral DeFi.

Another, somewhat more limited, form of zero-collateral lending was proposed by Aave through its Credit Delegation mechanism. This feature offloads the burden of maintaining collateralization to a debt underwriter, who then can choose to delegate their Aave credit line to someone of their choosing, usually hedge funds or other institutions. The end-client could draw credit without posting collateral, while the underwriter would be responsible for recovering the debt if things go sour — and here, traditional means would be available as well.

The Iron Bank has a similar function to Aave’s Credit Delegation, offering undercollateralized loans to a limited number of trusted entities. The difference is that the entities are other protocols, confining the interaction within the realm of DeFi.

Nonetheless, it is unclear how Cream plans to recover losses in case of a protocol defaulting on its debt. So far, it seems it would need to rely on the good faith of the people behind that project.

Cointelegraph reached out to Cream for further information but did not immediately receive a response.

Title: Cream Finance leaps into DeFi ‘corporate debt’ with Iron Bank launch
Sourced From: cointelegraph.com/news/cream-finance-leaps-into-defi-corporate-debt-with-iron-bank-launch
Published Date: Thu, 14 Jan 2021 14:35:32 +0000


Cream Finance jumps into DeFi ‘corporate financial obligation’ with Iron Bank launch
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UK’s FCA crypto derivatives restriction might press retail financiers to riskier grounds

UK’s FCA crypto derivatives restriction might press retail financiers to riskier grounds

It has stated a variety of reasons for why the products cannot be “reliably valued” by retail consumers, such as financial crime, volatility and an inadequate understanding of crypto assets being the main ones. It was estimated that retail investors will save $53 million due to this ban. This is despite the FCA releasing a research stating that U.K. consumers have invested an estimated $2.6 million in crypto assets.

Although the main intention of this ban is to protect retail investors from the complexity of these products, the assumption that retail investors in the U.K. have an inadequate understanding of crypto assets might be incorrect. Jesse Spiro, global head of policy and regulatory affairs at Chainalysis — a blockchain analysis company — told Cointelegraph: “Given the amount of available information and market intelligence that is now regularly produced on the cryptocurrency ecosystem, there are many retail investors that have a high degree of technical expertise and knowledge.”

Derivatives growth driven by institutional investors

Last year saw crypto derivatives go through an enormous growth phase, where the open interest in Bitcoin options multiplied threefold in 100 days, reaching a yearly high of $6.8 billion on Dec. 31 before growing even further in early January amid a bull run, reaching an all-time high of $10.5 billion on Jan. 7. Even though this growth must include an increased interest from retail investors as well, there are several indicators pointing to the fact that it has mainly grown due to the involvement of institutional investors.

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange is one of the most important exchanges for institutional investors to give themselves exposure to digital assets through Bitcoin futures and options. The platform has reported that Bitcoin’s (BTC) average daily volume grew 114% year-on-year in 2020, which took the average daily open interest on CME up by 252%. The unique active accounts also rose to 6,700, showing an 84% growth year-on-year. The main indicator of institutional interest, the number of large open interest holders, grew to a record of 110 in December as evident from the chart below.

The United Kingdom’s Financial Conduct Authority banned the sale of crypto derivatives and exchange-traded notes to retail investors effective Jan. 9, 2021. The FCA’s main underlying reason for this is the products are “ill-suited for retail consumers due to the harm they pose.” 

Jay Hao, CEO of crypto and derivatives exchange OKEx, told Cointelegraph that “crypto assets are indeed volatile as the FCA points out, and many investors have lost a lot of money when trades don’t go their way.” However, he added: “The problem is that when retail traders make a loss, they are not in a position to absorb it as comfortably as high-net-worth individuals or institutional investors.”

Regulated access to retail investors?

The reduced risk appetite of retail investors as compared to institutional investors is one of the reasons that retail investors need protection from a regulatory body. But this doesn’t necessarily mean that all retail investors are unsophisticated and that they shouldn’t have an option to use derivatives to hedge risk in their portfolio.

Haohan Xu, CEO and founder of Apifiny — a global liquidity and settlement solutions provider — told Cointelegraph: “Derivatives do more than amplify gains and losses. They also help investors hedge risks. Just because someone is unsophisticated does not mean that someone should be denied certain options to hedge risks.”

The risks in the crypto derivatives market are comparable to the risks of the foreign exchange markets, which are also highly leveraged. In these markets, governments and regulators all around the world step in and enforce maximum leverage limits for investors. The FCA could resort to solutions like that instead of a blanket ban, according to Hao:

“It is incorrect to assume that all retail investors are unsophisticated. Many of them have been in the crypto space for a long time and have a very good understanding of digital assets. Rather than a blanket ban on crypto derivatives for retail traders, which adds an additional layer of gatekeeping to the crypto space, we believe that education is key.”

Another issue that a blanket ban brings up is that retail investors who are persistent in investing in these banned products will need to circumvent this rule and invest in markets that are not under the FCA’s protection. Hao further stated: “These investors would be outside of the purview and protection of the FCA — which is obviously counterproductive.”

Xu alluded to another method to circumvent the ban using decentralized finance markets, which have seen 30% growth since the beginning of this year: “Although not favored by regulators across the world, DeFi derivatives platforms are always an option for crypto derivatives since most of them can be accessed by anyone from anywhere with just a wallet.”

It seems evident that there might be a better solution than a blanket ban, as it could possibly do more harm than good at this point, leading U.K. investors to marketplaces with no regulations or to lowering Know Your Customer standards, which brings more risk to retail investors who don’t have the same safeguards as institutional ones.

Retail education and regulatory engagement

Even after announcing the blanket ban on crypto derivatives and exchange-traded note products, Bitcoin’s price drop to $33,000 on Jan. 11 led FCA to issue a public warning about the high risks underlying all crypto assets and assets linked to them. The agency has also stated: “If consumers invest in these types of products, they should be prepared to lose all their money.”

Hao elaborated on how education would be a more effective method to protect retail investors than outright bans: “Education is key, and giving investors the chance to demonstrate their level of knowledge and skill before accessing complex products is crucial.” He further stated: “Unfortunately, if retail investors are forced onto exchanges with lower security standards in virtual asset storage, they could end up suffering more harm from this ban.”

The crypto community has been contributing to these initiatives on education by establishing points and platforms for retail investors to be educated of any risks that are involved in trading within leveraged derivatives markets. Various exchanges have education and blog sections on their website tailored for retail investors to educate them on all these aspects. There are also exclusive blockchain and cryptocurrency education platforms, such as Blockchain Education Network, which was started by students at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and the University of Michigan.

It’s also essential for the crypto community to engage with governments and regulatory bodies to establish frameworks that enable retail investors to navigate these markets with ease. Spiro stated: “The regulators’ priorities lie in protecting the financial ecosystem and consumers. Working collaboratively is the best way to pacify regulatory concerns while avoiding onerous regulation.”

Due to the size and volumes of the U.K. retail market in comparison to the global crypto derivatives market, it is highly unlikely that this ban will have a significant impact on the accelerated growth of the crypto derivatives that continues into 2021. According to Hao:

“The directional growth of derivatives is clear, and it will surpass the spot market in the near future. Exchanges have clients based all over the world, and as interest in cryptocurrencies rises, the jurisdictions that are more open and understand how best to regulate will end up being the winners in this race.”Title: UK’s FCA crypto derivatives ban may push retail investors to riskier grounds
Sourced From: cointelegraph.com/news/uk-s-fca-crypto-derivatives-ban-may-push-retail-investors-to-riskier-grounds
Published Date: Thu, 14 Jan 2021 12:23:49 +0000


UK’s FCA crypto derivatives restriction might press retail financiers to riskier grounds
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Pantera Capital CEO doubles down on $115K Bitcoin prediction for 2021

Pantera Capital CEO doubles down on $115K Bitcoin prediction for 2021

Dan Morehead, founder and CEO of Bitcoin (BTC) investment firm Pantera Capital, has maintained his bullish Bitcoin prediction for 2021.

Bitcoin is poised to hit as much as $115,000 by August 2021, surging 200% in the next eight months, Morehead reportedly said at a conference call on Jan. 12. 

The exec initially made this prediction in August 2020, when Bitcoin was trading at about $11,600. At publishing time, the cryptocurrency is trading at over $38,000. On Tuesday, Morehead said that Bitcoin still has lots of room for growth:

“Is bitcoin overvalued? I would say no. […] Bitcoin has spent three years well below its long-term compound annual growth trend line, it’s still below it, and although Bitcoin has rallied a great deal over the last six months, I think it is fairly valued.”

Morehead believes that major global digital currency developments like China’s digital yuan will positively impact the crypto market by boosting mainstream adoption. “There are over a billion people on earth that do not have access to a bank, but do have access to a smartphone, and that’s all you need to use a cryptocurrency,” Morehead said.

Joey Krug, co-chief information officer of Pantera, said that Bitcoin’s ongoing bull run is different from previous rallies and will not end the same way as its previous run in 2017. Krug said that the latest rally is much stronger in terms of adoption fundamentals. 

“The high level fundamentals for 2017 was that there really wasn’t much fundamentals at all, most projects were just an idea on a piece of paper, most things hadn’t launched, most things didn’t have live products,” he stated.

Morehead is not alone in believing that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2021. In early January, Binance.US CEO Catherine Coley predicted that Bitcoin could hit $100,000 by the end of the year. PlanB, the creator of the stock-to-flow model, also predicted that Bitcoin should achieve the $100,000 to $288,000 range by December 2021.

On Jan. 8, Bitcoin set a new historical high of $42,000, following a massive rally breaking $20,000 at the end of 2020. Following a correction, Bitcoin is steadily rebounding, trading at $38,600, up about 12% over the past 24 hours at publishing time.

Title: Pantera Capital CEO doubles down on $115K Bitcoin prediction for 2021
Sourced From: cointelegraph.com/news/pantera-capital-ceo-doubles-down-115k-bitcoin-prediction-for-2021
Published Date: Thu, 14 Jan 2021 11:25:56 +0000


Pantera Capital CEO doubles down on $115K Bitcoin prediction for 2021
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Expanding Your Investment Options: 403b to Gold IRA Rollover

Gold as a Safe Haven: 403b to Gold IRA Rollover Rolling over your 403b retirement savings plan into a precious metals IRA can offer several ...